WEBVTT
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Welcome everyone to another episode of Dynamics Corner.
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What does it take to start a startup?
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I'm your co-host.
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Chris, and this is Brad.
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This episode was recorded on February 12th 2025.
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Chris, chris, chris, what does it take to start a startup?
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Or should I say, what does it take to launch a product or start a product?
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Today we had a wonderful conversation and I learned so much from David Herfield.
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David, good afternoon hey guys, how are you doing?
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And my background flipped, or is it correct?
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It looks good.
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I think, your background looks great.
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Okay, because it looks flipped to me, but it looks perfect right here I can read it.
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I guess you're looking from the inside out, so it's oh I mean looking at um on my virtual camera, it's correct, but when I look at the rivers it looks like Techies is spelled backwards.
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Yeah, I had the same problem.
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So from our view it looks good.
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But I had the same problem on my end.
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How weird is that that it looks right to you.
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I've had this happen before, yeah, where it looks right to you and wrong to me, but I don't care, it just needs to look right to you guys, I think it would be unique if it was backwards.
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You'll have to watch it with a mirror Backwards and upside down maybe.
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I think I'll have to go to a virtual background one time and do that and see if anybody catches that I'm living upside down or something.
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We can't tell right now.
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If your background is flip-flop, can't tell, okay, you can't tell.
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That's why I'm weird, I just leave it the way it is yeah, how about that?
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yeah, that's, uh, that's definitely unique.
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It's that's definitely upside down now and now you're in the upside down.
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Now you just have to.
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You think they get it, I don't think they get it.
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The upside down but I think it would be even more creative if your hair stood up.
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Oh yeah, that would be really creative.
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If I had hair to stand up actually.
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Not having hair is actually an opportunity.
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It's a saver as soon as I started losing it.
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I just started shaving it and I found out what I was missing my whole life was not having to take care of it.
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I was in the army and I had a shaved head and then when I got out of the army, because I liked it so much, I kept a shaved head, so I had never really grown it per se.
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I used to have a high and tight, and then my my hairline started changing.
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And then one year recently, I decided to grow it out to see what I have, and uh, and decided to shave it back yeah, yeah, I've had some experiments that I wanted to do with it, but I just like the not having any hair because of the convenience.
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You just see, mine is mine was flipped, Brad, because when I didn't, I shaved my hair off, as you know, for a long, long time.
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And then I worked for a beauty supply company and they needed a quote.
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Unquote model for shampoo and so.
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I was asked to grow my hair and I've grown up my hair and then of course I kind of stuck with it since.
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But I agree it's less maintenance right no, are you still are?
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you still a model?
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No, I mean, it was kind of like a here and there in his mind in my mind yes, I'm always going to be like 25 year old.
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He said it, not me, but if you know anymore you can shave your head.
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So yeah, how about the people that get to just be hand models?
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it's like we don't really want to see the rest of you, but your hands look nice oh I heard about those, the insurance you'd have to put on your hands, right, because it's like, if that's right, yep, bread and butter, is that you run?
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if you run head first into a truck, it's not a problem, as long as your hands stay out of that accident.
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Is there even a market for hand models anymore?
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I don't have any.
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Probably not.
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There shouldn't be because you can just make prettier hands with AI now.
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Yeah, that's what I was thinking.
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That is true Speaking of.
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Ai, AI seems to be all over the place.
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Before we jump into the conversation that we wanted to speak about this afternoon, Mr David, would you mind telling us a little bit about yourself?
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Yeah, sure, I've been in the software business for the last 35 years.
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I started out an enterprise.
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I started my own software company in the early 90s and grew it to 800 customers in 22 countries and sold it to a publicly traded firm in 2000.
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That was my successful exit my initial one, and then I was VP of products for them for several years and then left and started another software venture that didn't go so well and that one, after 18 months, failed.
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And that one failed and I didn't realize the things I did the first time by accident, that led me to success.
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I didn't do them the same way the second time, and if I had, I would have been successful in that venture too, because I was actually getting traction on the product that I built, but I was trying to get investment instead of generating revenue for my customers as a way of proving product market fit and building my business model, which I did the first time.
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So I started Techies after that failure.
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It was in 2007.
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I started Techies that was 18 years ago and I've been doing contract development for other people ever since.
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We actually have a couple of SaaS products coming out this year, which are products that we're building for our own internal use, but they're products that other people that are struggling with the same products that we struggle with also need.
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So really excited about becoming a blended service and product company.
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Excellent.
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So Techies?
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You started.
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You said 17,.
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Math is right?
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17 years ago, you said 18.
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18 years ago I knew there was one of those it's late in the day over here Like carry the one type thing, yeah, carry the one, add, yeah let's carry the one, add the two, go upside down and so I mean techies.
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You said you're writing software.
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Contract software is you're writing contract software for yourself and others, and that's where you're creating the product.
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You're creating products, we're writing software for other people.
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Right, that's we.
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I've worked with over 90 startups over the last 17 years.
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Um, a few of them really successful.
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The majority of them fail, and they always fail for the same reason, for the same reason that mine failed, and that's they wait way too long to start to generate revenue.
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And the only way you prove product market fit is you ask people to buy your product.
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And until you're asking people to buy your product, you don't know if you have a product market fit or not, no matter how confident you are Right.
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So, um, uh, and and then by the time you most people, it usually it's anywhere from, you know, 12 to 36 months before people formally start marketing their product.
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Um, that's just sort of typical, because they're, you know, founders are afraid to ask the hard questions of the customers.
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So they get it to a certain point, they're MVP.
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Then they want to add features, they put it out for free beta.
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They're getting feedback from the market.
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Often, that feedback's misleading because these are not invested users and, plus, they're focused on what their initial agenda is to make the software better for what they're doing, but they're not paying for it.
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So you don't even know if those are gonna be paying customers once you put those features in and then once they finally have the software in a shape that they feel that's really ready for market you know, which is usually many, several releases past MVP then they start charging, only to find out people won't pay for it.
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This right here you can take me.
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You just piqued my interest with the words that you had just mentioned.
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I want to try to unpack some of that because I think a lot of individuals think that it's easy to create a startup.
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A lot of individuals think that, as you had mentioned, you create a product, everybody will come and you'll be successful and you'll be retired in five years or you'll be able to spin it off and sell it for $15 billion.
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But a lot of individuals that work with startups as you had even mentioned, you have successes, but you have more failures than you have successors.
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A huge amount more failures than successes.
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Um, and because to be successful with a software startup requires a lot of discipline and doing the heart and doing it the hard, easy way I call it the hard things upfront makes everything go much easier later on.
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Most people don't want to do that.
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They want to get to building the product.
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Um, they want to.
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They because they have a vision and they believe in themselves.
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Right, which are the, which is the kiss of death for a startup founder.
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Um, you know the power of positive thinking.
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You know abandon that idea.
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Well, you gotta be anxious and a contingency planner to the max and do the hard work up front to understand your market, understand the problems, understand the customer.
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And founders that love their product and believe in their vision fail more often than not.
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I mean in mass numbers the ones that love the problem and want to spend all their time talking to their customers.
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Those founders, consistently much higher percentage, find a path to revenue and success.
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I love that.
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Love the product no, don't love the product.
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Love the product no, not love, Don't love the product.
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Love the problem and also have an exit planned, or your contingency.
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I call it an exit, but you're saying a contingency because you may not be successful with your product.
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Everything Contingency.
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There was a I don't remember, I think it was the happiness lab.
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This is a podcast from this woman, stanford professor, lori Santos.
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It's huge podcast and she did a review of this concept of the power of positive thinking and it turns out this was a myth that started in the sixties and just caught on and everybody thinks it's great.
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But if you, if you pull serial successful CEOs, what you find out, these are really high anxiety people.
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They say I was lucky, I was just the right place, right time, I was lucky.
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And you scratch the surface just a little bit and all of a sudden you find out that they were everything we're sure.
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They were going to fail every step of the way and they thought of everything that could cause them to fail and they created contingency plans for everything so that when something happened it was like, of course, they were lucky because they had thought about it in advance and sort of had a plan around it.
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Those are founders that are, you know, that are critical thinkers that are successful because they focus on what's the problem I'm trying to solve and what are the problems that can cause me to fail, and that's where they spend their energy and by doing that.
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They make it so that they make sort of a, they galvanize their machine to be successful, regardless of what happens in the market.
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They didn't make up a problem.
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Like we know they didn't make up any problem.
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You know solving a problem, yeah.
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If they thought there was a problem.
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They went and got in front of customers, found out it wasn't a problem, it was something else.
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And the software ends up just being the natural conclusion to the process of mitigating the problem.
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Not something to be in love with, just the thing to fix it, to help fix this problem for them.
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My mind is spinning.
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I probably won't even be able to articulate or communicate during this conversation, because everything that you were saying is just resonating so deeply with me.
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Because when you're creating products, you're trying to solve a problem and if you lose sight of the problem and you continue to be invested in the product, it goes with what you're saying this is my point of view, or I'm taking back from my experiences and also with what you're saying this is my point of view, or I'm taking back of from my experiences, and also from what you're saying they wait too long to make to generate revenue.
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Meaning also, when do you start selling?
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When do you start charging?
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When do you bring market?
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Oh, I always have to add this one more thing and then it's ready.
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I always have to do this one more thing, that it's ready, and you get so lost in the product and I've witnessed this as well that you forget the problem that you're trying to solve and you end up trying to solve problems that don't exist and add complexity as well to it as well.
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It's the not just because you can doesn't mean you should.
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It just means you need to solve the problem in the easiest way possible, not in the most complex way possible, because you can get lost and it could take you forever to come to market with whatever it could be In a product.
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We're saying it could be a software product, it could even be a physical, tangible product to solve a problem such as locking the door or something else.
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You need to make sure you understand and identify the problem to solve it.
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Exactly, yeah, and by the way, that way that word.
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You know the word feature is like.
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If you, if the word feature, it keeps sneaking into your vocabulary.
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That because you ask a founder say, yeah, well, we need this feature because it makes it much easier to do this.
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I said, as soon as you put the word feature in there, you've lost focus on the problem.
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Yeah, right you're solving a problem, right that?
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Not millions of problems at once.
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Right when you say look at this feature and you're demoing the feature.
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You've lost sight of the problem and the customer, while you're demoing, right, because they don't care about your features, they care about you understand what they're struggling with Exactly.
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No, thank you.
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This comes to many different areas.
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We focus on business, central implementations, erp implementations, software implementations, architecture, solving problems and solving solutions.
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So what you're saying resonates with what I see in many implementations Even it may not necessarily be a product, but it's a solution to a problem that sometimes individuals get so lost in solving the problem that they lose sight of the problem right and it's oh, I could do this.
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Oh well, well, that looks cool.
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Could you add this?
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Oh, could you add that?
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Oh, we're going to add this and you're never ready the core disappeared.
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Yeah, you lose the original.
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Yes, so when do you bring a product to market?
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And what I mean by that is what considerations?
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If somebody is bringing a product to market whether they're solving a solution for one particular customer or creating a product to satisfy a problem for many different businesses what should they consider a think of before they bring it to market, to also determine the success of the product, or what are some things they should keep in mind?
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We talked about being anxious and having contingencies for foreseeable problems what are?
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Some other factors that they can should consider.
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Yeah, that anxiety thing is more of a characteristic of successful serial founders as opposed to something you should strive to be right.
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But the idea that you're always I've been striving to relax, and now you've just told me that I can be as anxious as I was, so I'm okay with that now.
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It's actually a kind of an indicator of potential success, right?
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So?
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And it's not the only path to success.
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There are some people that just have the charisma to bring business in right.
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So, and it's not the only path to success, there are some people that just have the charisma to bring business in right.
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That's a different kind of founder, but that's the very, very rare founder.
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I was recently working with one of those, so I do know that's another path, but he was still an incredibly critical thinker and pivot, pivot, pivot based on feedback of the market, and stay focused and simple.
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So he had all those instincts.
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He just also had the other S, the other X factor as well, and he just recently raised $5 million with very little effort.
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By the way, everybody, get that out of your head.
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Don't pitch, deck and MVP and get an investor.
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This is not the way to go.
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This is what every VC wants you to think, so that VCs have thousands of potential startups to sit through to pick the ones that they want, and they have promoted this concept forever.
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It's not how to launch.
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It's not the way.
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It's not how to launch, you know, unless you're a Stanford 20-something dropout in biotech and people are clamoring to give you money it is.
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Here's the numbers.
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A VC, a typical VC, is going to see 3,000 pitch decks, and I have corroborated these numbers with VCs.
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They'll see 3,000 pitch decks.
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These numbers with VCs, they'll see 3,000 pitch decks.
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Some initial person will kick out half of them and then, out of those 1,500 that are left, they'll do not a deep dive, but they'll do a more.
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You know they say, okay, these kind of fit our model, let's see which ones look like they might be decent, and out of those they'll get a hundred of them that will go to an analyst, because the rest will get cut out for other reasons.
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And out of those, um 60 will end up, uh, in front of the partners, and then 30 of them will get investment.
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So it's one in a thousand.
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Is your odds?
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Was that right?
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One in a thousand?
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one in a hundred.
00:18:58.804 --> 00:19:00.089
Yes, one in a hundred.
00:19:00.130 --> 00:19:07.509
There we go with the zeros again one in a hundred and carrying the, carrying the one, one in a hundred actually get funded.
00:19:07.509 --> 00:19:11.494
And out of those seven, um well, 30 out of 3000,.
00:19:12.099 --> 00:19:13.143
Wait, we're going to go back to this.
00:19:13.143 --> 00:19:14.005
Drop the ones.
00:19:14.005 --> 00:19:15.528
One out of a thousand.
00:19:15.548 --> 00:19:16.089
Yeah.
00:19:16.089 --> 00:19:22.828
So 1% of the 1% of those get funded Um and out of those 1%, 70% will fail.
00:19:22.828 --> 00:19:26.434
So VC-funded startups 70% fail.
00:19:27.140 --> 00:19:28.806
Wow, that's crazy statistics yeah.
00:19:31.161 --> 00:19:46.967
Because now you've got all this pressure on you and you've been thrown this money and most people's instincts are wrong in terms of what you do when you've been given all this investment or something shifted in the market, and it doesn't take much when you're in startup phase to derail you.
00:19:46.967 --> 00:19:55.953
Uh uh, most of the time it's something that could have been avoided or can be steered around if the founders really got good instincts and is disciplined.
00:19:55.953 --> 00:19:58.945
But, but you know, startups are very risky.
00:19:58.945 --> 00:20:00.925
You know people think I've.
00:20:00.925 --> 00:20:06.721
Well, but my idea is so brilliant, right, don't you the word brilliant code, for I'm gonna fail.
00:20:07.763 --> 00:20:11.993
Uh, right, I mean, there's so many code words, I have the best idea.
00:20:12.275 --> 00:20:17.794
Everybody wants it right, yeah, code words, for I'm going to fail bit, but isn't there always?
00:20:17.854 --> 00:20:18.698
a start to something.
00:20:18.698 --> 00:20:22.487
So you're saying starters fail, so I try to take it back.
00:20:22.487 --> 00:20:25.453
You have to start something somewhere.
00:20:26.461 --> 00:20:28.288
Right Vision is not a bad thing.
00:20:28.288 --> 00:20:35.166
Having an idea that you believe in is not a bad thing until that belief becomes the thing that drives you forward.
00:20:35.166 --> 00:20:37.893
So, in other words, you haven't done any.
00:20:37.893 --> 00:20:40.506
There's no veracity around the belief, it's just a belief.
00:20:40.506 --> 00:20:44.664
And that's where founders stumble, right at the very beginning.
00:20:44.664 --> 00:20:55.102
So what they need to do is peel off the black robe, you know, and stop preaching about the great idea and how cool it's going to be, and put on the white coat and become clinicians and say, okay, this is really solve a problem.
00:20:55.102 --> 00:20:55.864
Who's solving it?
00:20:55.864 --> 00:20:57.288
For what is the problem?